AI programmes are transformation programmes
The strongest predictor of AI value in our data is not the model, the vendor or the data estate. It is the reporting line — and most organisations have it pointed at the wrong committee.
We tracked 63 AI initiatives to month 18. The ones owned by operating committees delivered a median 68% of their value case; the ones owned by IT delivered 23%. Frequently the technology was identical. What differed was whether anyone who owned an operating decision — an order, a price, a service queue — was accountable for the model changing it.
The mechanism is unglamorous. A forecast that no ordering forum consumes is a chart. An answer engine that no service process trusts is a demo. AI creates value at the moment an operating decision changes, and IT — through no fault of its own — does not own operating decisions.
The test and the consequence
The screening test we now apply is one sentence: which operating decision does this change, and who owns that decision? In a recent engagement it killed 31 of 42 candidate use cases in a week — the highest-return week of the programme. The eleven survivors all reached production, because each had an owner whose Monday changed when the model worked.
The consequence for structure is equally short: AI belongs on the operating committee agenda, priced per use case, sequenced like any other commitment. Not because AI is unimportant, but because it is important in exactly the way every other operating change is — and the machinery that delivers operating change already has a name.
Cite as: Markham Institute, “AI programmes are transformation programmes”, Markham Perspectives, March 2026. Republication permitted with attribution.
Field Notes are written by the Markham Institute from engagement evidence, reviewed before publication. Positions are argued, priced, and open to challenge.
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